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Taegan Goddard’s Political Wire: Taegan Goddard’s Political Wire — News, polls and buzz
“The advantage isn’t large, but it is statistically significant: The researchers found the ruling, in Citizens United v. FEC, was associated with a six percentage-point increase in the likelihood that a Republican candidate would win a state legislative race.”
“And in six of the most affected states — Michigan, Minnesota, Montana, North Carolina, Ohio and Tennessee — the probability that a Republican would be elected to a state legislative seat increased by 10 percentage points or more. In five other states — Colorado, Iowa, Texas, Wisconsin and Wyoming — Republican candidates were seven percentage points more likely to win.”
“With one month before the government’s funding runs out on Sept. 30, Republicans said they expect to pass a short-term spending measure to prevent a high-stakes clash just before November’s midterm elections… Several members also said their desire to avoid legislative feuding in September extends to the Export-Import Bank, a federal trade agency that supports U.S. exporters and whose charter expires at month’s end.”
“But at a moment of spiraling global mayhem, from Ukraine to Iraq, Mr. Christie’s trip will double as a closely watched chance to demonstrate a level of acumen and adroitness on foreign policy that has so far eluded him as he weighs a run for the White House.”
“Republicans leaders are convinced that Mr. Obama’s second-term foreign policy — guided by an instinctive reluctance to use force and the mantra ‘don’t do stupid stuff’ — has created an opening for a compelling Republican critique in 2016, and they are eager to find an authoritative statesman to deliver it.”
In the governor’s race, Gov. Mark Dayton (D) leads challenger Jeff Johnson (R), 49% to 40%.
“Mundt, the state’s longest serving member in Congress, never would resume his duties as a senator, though he would occupy that office for three more years. His refusal to resign and allow outgoing Republican Gov. Frank Farrar to appoint his replacement before leaving office himself had profound consequences for South Dakota politics that ripple through today.”
“Political observers have speculated on why Mundt stayed, despite urgings from longtime friends, prominent local Republicans and even the Nixon White House. The episode is one of South Dakota’s prominent political mysteries.”
– President Obama, quoted by BuzzFeed, at a Democratic fundraiser.
“Rubio was a leading champion of the comprehensive immigration reform bill that passed the Senate last year. But in a letter to President Obama and a series of four media interviews this week, he made clear that he now favors additional measures to secure the border before there is even talk of a pathway to legal status for those in the country illegally.”
“There have also been a handful of unmitigated disasters. We’re talking about the campaigns that failed miserably, after kicking off full of promise, in most cases.”
Said Abercrombie: “Republicans crossed over en masse to vote in the Democratic primary, and then the religious factor came in. Doctrinally I was outside the circle and paid for it.”